Observational studies suggest a link between the severity of coagulopathy, organ dysfunction, and death in patients with sepsis [3, 4]. Therefore, it is not surprising that several anticoagulant agents have been tested in an attempt to improve the survival of patients with sepsis and sepsis-induced DIC. Such attempts have been unsuccessful in improving survival in sepsis and septic shock [5, 6]. By network meta-analysis, Yatabe et al. showed no significant differences in mortality risk when a placebo and four anticoagulants (antithrombin, thrombomodulin, heparin, or protease inhibitors) were compared in patients with sepsis-induced DIC [6]. Recently, Vincent et al. reported the results of the SCARLET (Sepsis Coagulopathy Asahi Recombinant LE Thrombomodulin) phase 3 trial [7]. The inclusion criteria of the SCARLET study were based on a post hoc analysis of a randomized placebo-controlled phase 2b study, in which recombinant human soluble thrombomodulin (rhsTM) had a non-significant effect on the 28-day mortality rate in patients with sepsis and suspected DIC (17.8% vs 21.6% in the placebo group) [8]. Despite including only patients with sepsis-associated coagulopathy, the SCARLET trial failed to demonstrate a reduction in 28-day all-cause mortality. Incorporating then-unpublished results of the SCARLET trial, Yamakawa et al. conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of the effects of rhsTM on sepsis-induced coagulopathy [9]; reduction in the risk of all-cause 28-day mortality in the rhsTM group was not significantly different compared to the control group (relative risk, 0.87; 95% confidence interval, 0.74–1.03; p = 0.10).
Why have anticoagulants failed to demonstrate survival benefit in sepsis or sepsis-induced DIC? Firstly, the coagulation system, traditionally divided into an intrinsic and extrinsic pathway, is not as simple as once thought and closely related to the immune system [10]. Immunothrombosis is an evolutionarily conserved mechanism in which thrombosis plays a major physiological role in immune defense [11]. When we manipulate factors involved in these intertwined systems, we may disturb their delicate homeostasis unless we understand and control for all unintended effects. We are all too familiar with the fact that many clinical trials involving strategies for modifying the systemic inflammatory response by targeting endogenous mediator molecules have produced negative results [12]. Secondly, there has been a failure to identify patients who would benefit from anticoagulation therapy. The disappointing results of the SCARLET trial could be explained by the fact that sepsis-associated coagulopathy is not the same as sepsis-induced DIC; coagulopathy is common in sepsis but does not necessarily lead to the development of a widespread coagulopathy that meets the diagnostic criteria of DIC [3]. A meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials of anticoagulant therapies in sepsis demonstrated a survival benefit with anticoagulation only in the subgroup of patients with sepsis-induced DIC, but not in the population with sepsis-associated coagulopathy [5]. In the editorial accompanying the SCARLET trial report [13], it is noted that failure to identify patients who were more likely to respond favorably to rhsTM could partially explain the lack of efficacy for rhsTM in reducing mortality. However, this does not mean that rhsTM is proven to be effective in reducing mortality when used in patients with confirmed sepsis-induced DIC, and physicians should be reminded of the difficulty of identifying patients who may benefit from rhsTM. Difficulty identifying the right targets for anticoagulation therapy can be attributed partly to the ambiguous diagnostic criteria for DIC. There is no gold standard for DIC diagnosis, and there are several diagnostic criteria; in addition, none of these criteria were specifically designed for sepsis-induced DIC [4]. Thus, discrimination between simple coagulopathy and DIC and the timing of treatment becomes somewhat arbitrary, and the optimal cutoff points of DIC scoring systems are still under debate [14]. Finally, different sepsis phenotypes correlated with host-response patterns and clinical outcomes may explain the heterogeneity of treatment effects [15].
How can we overcome the challenges mentioned above? One solution could be the application of precision medicine, which is increasingly common in the field of intensive care medicine [16]. One example is the application of prognostic and predictive enrichment strategies to find populations that could benefit from corticosteroid treatments in sepsis [17]. Predictive enrichment strategy involves identifying endotypes (subclasses of a disease or syndrome as defined by function or biology) by analyzing gene expression [18]. This highly sophisticated method has revealed that the endotype of patients with sepsis changes over time, possibly affecting the response of these patients to treatment [19]. If this dynamic change of endotype is seen in patients with septic DIC, it may not be beneficial to administer rhsTM to all patients with septic DIC for a uniform duration.
There is hope in the field of DIC. In patients with sepsis, thrombocytopenia on admission was associated with a distinct gene expression pattern that corresponds to a more disturbed host response [20]. Applying a precision medicine approach to patients with sepsis-induced DIC throughout the clinical course may help identify patients who benefit from anticoagulation. Until such measures become available, the best possible targets for anticoagulation therapy may be patients fulfilling all three criteria of sepsis, DIC, and high disease severity [21]. Nevertheless, in the absence of robust evidence, anticoagulants should only be used for sepsis-induced DIC in a research setting in order to try and find the right population, timing, dosage, and duration of therapy for effective treatment.