Training set | Test set | p value | Survivors | Non-survivors | p value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Number of patients | 181,075 | 36,214 | 177,185 | 40,104 | <0.001 | |
Women (%) | 43.5 | 42.9 | 0.032 | 43.6 | 42.6 | <0.001 |
Mean LOS (days) | 2.49 (0.52–2.32) | 2.50 (0.52–2.34) | 0.29 | 0.383 (0.208–0.841) | 0.516 (0.210–1.315) | <10−15 |
ICU mortality (%) | 8.8 | 8.8 | 0.85 | 0.00109 | 0.47 | <10−15 |
30-day mortality (%) | 18.5 | 18.5 | 0.87 | 0 | 100 | <10−15 |
Median SAPS 3 score | 53 (42–65) | 52 (41–64) | 0.30 | 49 (39–59) | 70 (61–80) | <10−15 |
Median EMRSAPS 3 | 0.100 (0.027–0.280) | 0.090 (0.024–0.261) | 0.30 | 0.065 (0.018–0.176) | 0.382 (0.208–0.589) | <10−15 |
Box I | ||||||
Median age (years) | 65 (48–76) | 65 (48–76) | 0.66 | 63 (43–73) | 74 (66–82) | <10−15 |
Comorbidities | ||||||
Cancer therapy (%) | 4.7 | 4.8 | 0.51 | 4.1 | 7.4 | <10−15 |
Chronic HF (%) | 5.5 | 5.5 | 1 | 4.0 | 11.8 | <10−15 |
Haematological cancer (%) | 1.7 | 1.7 | 0.75 | 1.2 | 4.0 | <10−15 |
Cirrhosis (%) | 1.8 | 1.8 | 0.64 | 1.5 | 3.5 | <10−15 |
AIDS (%) | 0.092 | 0.102 | 0.62 | 0.092 | 0.100 | 0.71 |
Cancer (%) | 8.4 | 8.4 | 0.88 | 7.4 | 12.8 | <10−15 |
Mean LOS before ICU (days) | 1.8 (0–1) | 1.7 (0–1) | 0.12 | 1.6 | 2.8 | <10−15 |
Location before ICU | ||||||
Operation (%) | 11.4 | 11.3 | 0.50 | 12.5 | 6.8 | <10−15 |
Emergency room (%) | 53.1 | 53.2 | 0.65 | 54.8 | 45.8 | <10−15 |
Other ICU (%) | 2.6 | 2.7 | 0.57 | 2.4 | 3.4 | <10−15 |
Other (%) | 30.0 | 29.8 | 0.57 | 27.4 | 41.1 | <10−15 |
Vasoactive drugs before ICU (%) | 12.8 | 12.8 | 0.73 | 11.3 | 19.4 | <10−15 |
Box II | ||||||
Unplanned ICU admission (%) | 92.7 | 92.6 | 0.60 | 92.0 | 96.0 | <10−15 |
Reason for ICU admission | ||||||
Basic and observational (%) | 14.0 | 14.3 | 0.10 | 16.4 | 3.8 | <10−15 |
Neurological (%) | 46.3 | 46.2 | 0.66 | 46.6 | 44.7 | <10−11 |
Cardiovascular (%) | 45.3 | 45.8 | 0.068 | 42.5 | 57.8 | <10−15 |
Respiratory (%) | 46.7 | 46.9 | 0.46 | 45.3 | 53.2 | <10−15 |
Hepatic (%) | 18.1 | 18.3 | 0.46 | 19.7 | 11.0 | <10−15 |
Digestive (%) | 27.5 | 27.8 | 0.29 | 29.1 | 20.8 | <10−15 |
Renal (%) | 27.6 | 27.9 | 0.23 | 27.6 | 27.6 | 0.97 |
Metabolic (%) | 33.0 | 33.2 | 0.48 | 34.0 | 28.8 | <10−15 |
Haematological (%) | 18.9 | 19.4 | 0.014 | 20.5 | 12.1 | <10−11 |
Trauma (%) | 9.8 | 9.7 | 0.40 | 10.6 | 6.4 | <10−15 |
Other (%) | 10.5 | 10.6 | 0.50 | 11.1 | 8.0 | <10−15 |
Surgical status at ICU admission | ||||||
No surgery (%) | 79.7 | 79.8 | 0.60 | 78.4 | 85.4 | <10−15 |
Scheduled surgery (%) | 9.0 | 9.1 | 0.88 | 10.2 | 3.7 | <10−15 |
Emergency surgery (%) | 11.2 | 11.1 | 0.41 | 11.3 | 10.8 | 0.0048 |
Anatomical site of surgery | ||||||
Transplantation surgery (%) | 0.40 | 0.44 | 0.25 | 0.49 | 0.047 | <10−15 |
Isolated trauma (%) | 0.60 | 0.59 | 0.89 | 0.60 | 0.61 | 0.90 |
Multiple trauma (%) | 0.37 | 0.40 | 0.39 | 0.43 | 0.15 | <10−15 |
Cardiac surgery (%) | 0.41 | 0.48 | 0.070 | 0.44 | 0.32 | 0.00085 |
Neurosurgery (%) | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.26 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.70 |
All other types of surgery (%) | 17.9 | 17.8 | 0.65 | 19.0 | 12.8 | <10−15 |
Acute infection at ICU admission | ||||||
Nosocomial (%) | 2.7 | 2.8 | 0.50 | 2.3 | 4.5 | <10−15 |
Respiratory (%) | 10.6 | 11.0 | 0.059 | 8.9 | 18.7 | <10−15 |
Box III | ||||||
Median GCS | 15 (11–15) | 15 (11–15) | 0.082 | 15 (13–15) | 10 (3–14) | <10−15 |
Median total bilirubin (μmol/L) | 10 (6–17) | 10 (6–17) | 0.70 | 10 (6–16) | 11 (7–20) | <10−15 |
Mean max. temperature (∘C) | 36.8 (36.2–37.5) | 36.8 (36.2–37.5) | 0.94 | 36.9 (36.3–37.5) | 36.5 (35.8–37.4) | <10−15 |
Median max. creatinine (μmol/L) | 84 (64–123) | 84 (64–123) | 0.88 | 80 (63–112) | 110 (76–175) | <10−15 |
Mean max. heart rate (bpm) | 98 (80–114) | 98 (80–114) | 0.52 | 97 | 102 | <10−15 |
Median max. leukocyte count (×109/L) | 11.1 (8.0–15.6) | 11.2 (8.0–15.6) | 0.80 | 10.9 (7.9–15.0) | 12.6 (8.6–17.7) | <10−15 |
Median min. pH | 7.36 (7.29–7.42) | 7.36 (7.29–7.42) | 0.22 | 7.37 (7.30–7.42) | 7.31 (7.20–7.40) | <10−15 |
Median min. platelet count (×109/L) | 222 (165–287) | 222 (164–287) | 0.89 | 225 (169–287) | 208 (142–286) | <10−15 |
Median min. systolic BP (mmHg) | 110 (90–130) | 110 (89–130) | 0.12 | 111 (90–133) | 92 (70–120) | <10−15 |
Oxygenation | ||||||
Over pressure ventilation (%) | 30.5 | 30.0 | 0.093 | 25.6 | 51.6 | <10−15 |
Median FiO2 | 0.40 (0.30–0.60) | 0.40 (0.30–0.60) | 0.18 | 0.40 (0.30–0.50) | 0.50 (40–80) | <10−15 |
Median PaO2 (kPa) | 11.9 (9.4–15.9) | 11.8 (9.4–15.8) | 0.43 | 12.0 (9.7–16.0) | 11.0 (8.7–15.3) | <10−15 |