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Table 3 Multivariable logistic regression analysis of the training set (N = 4321) for Critical Care Trauma Center (CCTC) and Medical-Surgical Intensive Care Unit (MSICU) at London Health Sciences Center (LHSC)

From: To develop a regional ICU mortality prediction model during the first 24 h of ICU admission utilizing MODS and NEMS with six other independent variables from the Critical Care Information System (CCIS) Ontario, Canada

 

Beta (β) coefficient

Wald chi-square

Odds ratio (95 % CI)

p value

Intercept

−5.18

137.10

<.0001

Age

   

<.0001

 0–39 (reference)

 40–79

0.80

25.73

2.23 (1.64–3.04)

 

 ≥80

1.71

90.17

5.51 (3.87–7.84)

 

Sex

   

0.44

 Male (reference)

 Female

0.06

0.60

1.07 (0.91–1.25)

 

Nine Equivalents Nursing Manpower Use Score (NEMS)

   

<.0001

 0–22 (reference)

 23–29

0.39

4.79

1.48 (1.04–2.10)

 

 ≥30

1.02

36.57

2.77 (1.99–3.84)

 

Multiple Organ Dysfunction Score (MODS)

   

<.0001

 0 (reference)

 

 1–4

1.18

9.87

3.25 (1.56–6.78)

 

 5–8

1.91

26.24

6.78 (3.26–14.09)

 

 9–12

2.90

57.39

18.09 (8.55–38.25)

 

 ≥13

3.56

65.11

35.16 (14.81–83.46)

 

ICU Admission Source

   

<.0001

 Operating room/post-anesthesia care unit (reference)

 

 Other sourcea

0.98

28.56

2.66 (1.86–3.81)

 

 Emergency department

1.00

48.76

2.71 (2.05–3.59)

 

 Hospital—outside or within LHIN

1.12

58.76

3.05 (2.26–4.12)

 

 Unit/ward

1.60

115.846

4.93 (3.69–6.59)

 

ICU admission diagnosis

   

<.0001

 Cardiovascular/cardiac/vascular (reference)

 Other diagnosisb

−0.81

37.67

0.45 (0.34–0.58)

 

 Gastrointestinal

−0.80

20.16

0.45 (0.32–0.64)

 

 Respiratory

−0.56

22.85

0.57 (0.45–0.72)

 

 Trauma

−0.32

2.52

0.73 (0.49–1.08)

0.11

 Neurological

0.002

0.0002

1.00 (0.76–1.33)

0.99

Re-admission to ICU (same hospital admission)

−0.30

4.02

0.74 (0.56–0.99)

0.04

Modified Charlson’s Comorbidity Index (CCI)

   

0.1

 0 (reference)

 1–3

−0.21

4.20

0.81 (0.66–0.99)

 

 >3

0.05

0.10

1.06 (0.76–1.48)

 
  1. aOther Source includes patients admitted from the following locations:home—within or outside LHIN, level 2 unit or step-down unit, level 3 unit (medical/surgical or specialty unit), complex continuing care facility, rehabilitation facility, outside province, other
  2. bOther diagnosis includes patients with the following diseases: metabolic/endocrine, genitourinary, musculoskeletal, skin, oncology, hematology, other